Morning Examiner: Obama’s weak lead

Politics,Beltway Confidential,Conn Carroll

Released on the same day Rick Santorum finally quit the GOP race, The Washington Post‘s latest poll is as good a snap shot as any for the start of the 2012 general election presidential race.

As we noted yesterday, The Post poll is almost comically slanted towards Democrats. Since 2000, the largest Democrat advantage on election day was 7 percent in 2008 when the electorate was 39 percent Democrat, 32 percent Republican, and 29 percent Independent. The Post poll has Democrats up 11, 34 percent to 23 percent (with Independents at 34 percent). In 2004, when the electorate was 37 percent Democrat, 37 percent Republican, and 26 percent Independent, Bush beat Kerry 51 percent to 48 percent.

But despite this huge pro-Democrat distortion, The Post only shows Obama up by seven. And as The Weekly Standard‘s Jay Cost point out, the internals look even worse for Obama.

Quick, name the top four issues for voters in this election. According to Gallup, if you said the economy, jobs, debt, and oil prices (in that order) you are right.  Now look at the issues Romney does best against Obama in The Post poll.

On the economy, Romney beats Obama 47 percent to 43 percent. On jobs, Obama is up just 46 to 43. On the debt, Romney trounces Obama 51 to 38. And on energy, Romney is up 47 to 42. And remember all of these numbers are taken from a sample that favors Democrats by 11 points.

There is no doubt that Obama currently has an edge over Romney in a head-to-head match-up. The Real Clear Politics polling average has Obama up five. But as The Post poll shows, Obama is extremely vulnerable on every issue that matters most to voters. Romney has a solid opportunity to close that gap.

Campaign 2012
Gingrich: Newt Gingrich may no appear on the Utah primary ballot because his $500 check for the registration fee bounced.

Around the Bigs
The New York Times, Obama Goes on Offensive Over Taxes on Wealthy: President Obama made the Buffett Rule, a new tax on millionaires, the centerpiece of his re-election campaign yesterday. Obama claims tax fairness and the common good demand the richest Americans pay at least as much as middle-income taxpayers do.

The New York Times, Worst Loss This Year for Wall St.: The stock market sank deeper on Tuesday, eroding the first quarter’s blockbuster gains for a fifth straight day, as fears about the debt crisis in Europe re-emerged.

The Washington Post, Hospitals scramble on the front lines of drug shortages: Shortages of prescription drugs have more than quadrupled since 2004, causing at least 15 deaths since 2011.

CBS News, Hybrid car owners unlikely to buy another: R.L. Polk, an automotive marketing research company, released a study this week showing that only 35-percent of hybrid owners purchased another gas-electric vehicle when trading in during 2011. Remove the Toyota Prius from the sample, and hybrids have a repurchase rate under 25-percent.

Investors Business Daily, Half Of Democrats Want To Get Rid of Individual Mandate: A new poll by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence found that while 39% of Democrats wanted the law upheld, 38% wanted the mandate struck down and another 12% wanted the whole thing thrown out. In other words, 50% want part or all of the law tossed.

Righty Playbook
Power Line‘s John Hinderaker posts a Senate Budget Committee chart showing that U.S. government debt exceeds that of the entire European Union.

The Atlantic‘s Alice Walton explains why the government is to blame for the prescription drug shortage.

At Library of Law and Liberty, Michael Greve explains why the decline in administrative law litigation is bad for the rule of law.

Lefty Playbook
Gawker announced yesterday that they have a paid mole inside Fox News.

Mother Jones‘ Kevin Drum argues that the James O’Keefe video proves how hard it is to commit voter fraud.

ThinkProgress‘ Igor Volsky attacks Charles Blahous’ latest study showing that Obamacare actually adds to the debt.

View article comments Leave a comment