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Morning Examiner: Will Sandy or the economy decide the election Tuesday?

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Politics,Beltway Confidential,Conn Carroll

President Obama has surged ahead of Mitt Romney in the Real Clear Politics average of national polls and Hurricane Sandy seems to be the reason why.

According to final Politico/George Washington University poll, Obama and Romney are tied at 48 percent. But Obama has increased his lead over Romney in the Northeast from nine points (52-43) a week ago to 21 points (56-35) today. Pew, who now shows Obama ahead 50 percent to 47 percent, also showed a strong Obama gain in the Northeast where he went from up 8 before Sandy, to up 20 points today.

No matter who the pollster is, Romney is still the clear winner on economic issues. Politico has Romney up 56 percent to 41 percent among voters who named the economy as their top issue. Only 34 percent of likely voters polled by CNN say the economy will get better if Obama is reelected compared to 43 percent who said the same thing about Romney. And the final NBC News poll shows Romney beating Obama on the economy 47 percent to 42 percent.

Sandy and its aftermath is still dominating national news coverage. All of the network news shows led with Sandy, not the election, this morning. Voters may still tell pollsters that the economy is the most important issue to them this election, but Sandy may crowd it out at the polls tomorrow.

From The Washington Examiner
Michael Barone: Romney beats Obama, handily
Byron York: ‘Love of country’ vs. ‘Revenge’
Phil Klein: Will Obama’s Sandy bounce fade by Tuesday?
Tim Carney: Obama abused the public trust for political gain

Campaign 2012
Polls: New polls from CNN and Politico both show the race tied at 49 percent. Fox News has Obama and Romney tied at 46.

In Other News
The Wall Street Journal, Health-Care Law Spurs a Shift to Part-Time Workers: Low-wage employers are moving toward hiring part-time workers instead of full-time ones to mitigate the health-care overhaul’s requirement that large companies provide health insurance for full-time workers or pay a fee.
The Washington Post
, Middle class faces quick impact from fiscal cliff: Unless Congress acts by the end of the year, more than 26 million households will for the first time face the AMT, which threatens to tack $3,700, on average, onto taxpayers’ bills for the current tax year.
The New York Times
, Housing Nightmare Looms in Wake of Storm: New York City officials said on Sunday that they faced the daunting challenge of finding homes for as many as 40,000 people who were left homeless after the devastation of last week’s storm.

Righty Playbook
George Will predicts Romney will win big.
The Heritage Foundation‘s Dan Holler notes that after tomorrow Obama will be a lame duck, the only question is for how long.
James Pethokoukis on October’s dismal ‘New Normal’ jobs report

Lefty Playbook
Talking Points Memo reports that unions are planning to take credit for Obama wins in Ohio and Wisconsin.
Think Progress highlights another business owner who is promising to fire employees if Obama is reelected.
Kevin Drum admits that Obama has been bad for civil liberties but says Romney would be worse.

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