POLITICS: PennAve

Fiscal crisis economic dashboard: Definite worries

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Debt Ceiling,PennAve,Joseph Lawler,Economy,Budgets and Deficits,Minusextra,Government Shutdown,Economic Dashboard

It's not time to panic yet, but definite signs of worry among investors and consumers are starting to show up in the economic data.

Here's the latest update to the Washington Examiner's economic dashboard, which displays key trends to watch as the government shutdown drags on and the Treasury inches closer to a debt-ceiling-induced default on the debt.

Short-term Treasury bonds spiked Tuesday. One-month bills closed at 0.31 percent, twice the level they reached in the 2011 debt ceiling showdown. That suggests that there's even more fear in markets about the limit this time around, because the spike in T-bills is a week ahead of schedule.



The dollar, on the other hand, remained relatively steady. Here it is against a basket of currencies:


Stocks continue to drop from their mid-September high. Here's the S&P 500, which fell more than a percentage point Tuesday:


Economic confidence has plunged and then flatlined over the past few days. It is fast approaching the -50 mark in Gallup's daily index, where it bottomed out during the 2011 debt ceiling talks.


The Baker-Bloom-Davis Economic Policy Certainty Index, on the other hand, has leveled off.


Bottom line: It's clear that things are heading in the wrong direction, but so far markets are holding up.
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