Wonder what's really going on in American politics? Odds are good these days that it's the opposite of the traditional media's conventional wisdom.
Here's why: Millennials are the ascending cohort and are steadily displacing Baby Boomers as the prime movers of election strategizing.
But when the traditional media looks at the Tea Party, the conventional wisdom sees only a bunch of angry, middle-aged white people and concludes the movement is reactionary and certain to decline.
Digital grey power?
Then along comes FreedomWorks honcho Matt Kibbe with this penetrating observation:
"You’re really seeing a disintermediation in politics. ... Grass-roots activists have an ability to self-organize, to fund candidates they’re more interested in, going right around the Republican National Committee and senatorial committee.
"That’s the new reality. Everything’s more democratized, and Republicans should come to terms with that. They still want to control things from the top down ..."
No surprise there
As Donald Tapscott (no relation) made clear in his "Grown Up Digital" several years ago, Millennials take decentralization, individual responsibility, entrepreneurial creativity, and democratic cooperation for granted, like air and water.
Decentralization is also what powers the Tea Party movement in the GOP, just as Kibbe's "disintermediation" powered the digital Democrats who defeated Hillary Clinton in 2008 and put Barack Obama in the White House.
Thus, the Tea Party is a leading edge of digital politics, empowered by the Internet's irresistible decentralization on behalf of the analogous government paradigm. The Founders called it "limited government."
Obamacare as relic
Despite its digital patina, Obamacare epitomizes the top-down command economy. As Millennials realize in coming months how lousy it is for them, they will be steadily alienated from Obamacare's political patrons.
There may be early evidence of that alienation in the Pew Research poll noted in today's Wall Street Journal by Andrew Kohut.
"Independents favored the GOP on the economy by a whopping 46%-30% margin in that survey," said Kohut, who also pointed to a 42-39 percent GOP edge on managing the government during the October shutdown.
Stay tuned. And don't put your money on the conventional wisdom.
On today's Washington Examiner
Philip Klein: Why Obama's non-apology won't work.
Michael O'Hanlon: Military must do more with less.
Susan Crabtree: Obama says he never considered dumping Joe Biden.
In other news
The Wall Street Journal: Iran nuclear deal expected as early as Friday.
Washington Post: Navy moles helped Malaysian businessman bilk U.S.
New York Times: Apologizing, Obama yields to criticism of health law.
ABC News: Most powerful storm batters Philippines.
American Spectator: The Sabotage Republicans strike again, this time in Virginia.
The Weekly Standard: Netanyahu calls Iran pact 'a bad deal, a very, very bad deal.'
National Review Online: Krauthammer on Obama's last campaign, for Obamacare.
Talking Points Memo: GOP blockade sells even old-school Dems on nuking filibuster.
American Prospect: Fruits of Republican folly.
Tom Hayden/Peace and Justice Resource Center: California's progressive leverage.