Can Dems community organize to keep Senate?

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Politics,Chris Stirewalt,Power Play

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Buzz Cut:
• Can Dems community organize to keep Senate?
• Warren draws the line on Hillary: ‘We’re not there’
• Family man Jeb’s complicated 2016 considerations
• Power Play: Tillis looks to November
• They call that frog ‘Jonah’ now

Democrats are relieved that of the millions who signed up for ObamaCare, the percentage of enrollees who actually paid for coverage is higher than doomsayers predicted. That’s good news for Democrats from an electoral standpoint because had the number of payees been as low as some had forecast, sticker shocks would have been even worse than they are. (As WSJ reports today, the expected rate hikes under ObamaCare remain on track. That’s not good, but at least meeting poor expectations is still something.) The early numbers on the president’s health law, however, are also bringing some bad news. A new study suggests that only 26 percent of enrollees didn’t have insurance before. That’s not good for rates since such a small number are new contributors to the risk pool. But the bad news politically for Democrats is that there are so few Americans who have happy ObamaCare stories to tell. The law’s first year looks mostly like a shift from purely private policies (millions were cancelled) to government-arranged policies. Some have no doubt come voluntarily, lured by new subsidies or, if they are older and/or unwell, the chance to shift some cost to younger, healthier consumers. That’s fine, but a little bit of free money for the already insured isn’t the narrative Democrats were hoping for.

[A new survey from Gallup finds 55 percent of Democrats are less enthusiastic about this election.]

From beneficiaries to voters - But there are millions of Americans who have health insurance today as a result of President Obama’s law, which also expanded the welfare program of Medicaid. Unfortunately for Democrats, however, poorer Americans are even less likely to vote in midterms than they are in quadrennial elections. That explains the new push from key parts of the Obama coalition to find beneficiaries of the law and then organize them for action. AP reports that key Obama patrons are pledging “tens of millions of dollars” this cycle to get welfare beneficiaries to the polls. Participants include the Service Employees International Union and Planned Parenthood Action Fund, both of which helped enroll people in ObamaCare programs in the first place. One supposes that these groups will know where to go to find the potential voters to get to the polls and vote for Democrats. Planned Parenthood was paid big money to sign up Americans for ObamaCare and SEIU has stood apart from other unions as an early adopter and evangelist for the law. This is where the rubber meets the road for Democrats: Having enrolled more Americans in welfare programs, can these groups turn beneficiaries into Democratic voters? And are there enough of them to offset the frustrations experienced by so many in the 85 percent of Americans who already had insurance before ObamaCare passed? With some states providing voter registration packets with ObamaCare enrollment forms, the pump should be primed. Aside from the money these groups and their members got in grants and bounties, the real upside to helping induct ObamaCare beneficiaries could be in preserving a Democratic Senate that will provide money and favorable regulations to liberal groups.

Fox News: “Republican Rep. Trey Gowdy, the newly appointed Benghazi Select Committee chairman, vowed Sunday to keep politics and political fundraising out of his group’s fact-finding mission. ‘The facts are neither Republican nor Democrat,’ the South Carolina lawmaker told ‘Fox News Sunday.’ ‘They're facts’… ‘How does it benefit me when from Day One they’re excluded?’ he asked. ‘I want this to transcend politics’…Rep. Xavier Becerra, D-Calif., told Fox his party will ‘absolutely’ participate in the committee’s investigation ‘if it's a fair-and-balanced process.’ ‘We've always said we're ready to participate,’ he continued. ‘We have a responsibility.”

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Chris Stirewalt
FOX News