Return to Washington Examiner Homepage
May 20, 2013 | 02:00 PM
politics
Washington D.C. weather
Politics

Obama’s Labor Department just created 386,000 jobs. Does that mean unemployment will go down next Friday?

September 27, 2012 | 2:52 pm
Leave a comment
Photo -

This morning the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics released its annual “preliminary estimate” of the “annual benchmark revision to the establishment survey employment series.” Using updated state unemployment insurance tax records, the BLS now estimates that the U.S. economy created 386,000 more jobs over the past 12 months then they previously thought.

So if the U.S. economy magically has 386,000 more jobs today than it did yesterday, does this mean that unemployment will drop dramatically next Friday when BLS releases it monthly jobs report? No.

While the BLS produces both the jobs number and the nation’s unemployment rate, the two numbers actually come from entirely different surveys. The jobs number revised today comes from a BLS survey of employers called the Current Employment Statistics or CES. The unemployment number comes from a survey of American households called the Current Population Survey or CPS. The CES is a measure of jobs created by U.S. employers. CPS is a measure of Americans with jobs.

And while the CES number of jobs created has been consistently positive since February 2010, the CPS number of American with jobs has declined a number of times, including the last two months:
So today’s BLS reestimate changes nothing. The current jobs market is incredibly weak and has gotten weaker the past two months. Couple that with news that U.S. durable good orders in August fell by the most since the recession, and economic growth for the second quarter was downgraded from 1.7 percent to 1.3 percent, and it is clear that the Obama economy is failing.

From WeeklyStandard.com

  • Ideological Revenue Service

    With three different scandals threatening to consume the White House last week—the Benghazi cover-up, the Justice Department’s seizure of the phone records of dozens of Associated Press...

    Read More...

  • The Real Scandal

    Everyone in Washington, except those in the crosshairs, likes a good scandal, and THE WEEKLY STANDARD is no exception. What’s more, in the case of the Obama administration, comeuppance is well...

    Read More...

  • When It Rains, It Pours

    There is no curse on the second term of presidents. When presidents lose credibility, when trust vanishes and their word is no longer accepted, they have only themselves to blame. That was true...

    Read More...