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Since switching to likely voter screen, Gallup has never gotten the electoral college winner wrong

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Gallup has been polling presidential elections since 1936 and has only failed to predict the winner of the electoral college twice: in 1948 when they had New York Gov. Thomas Dewey beating President Harry Truman 45 percent to 41 percent, and 1976 when they had President Gerald Ford beating then-Gov. Jimmy Carter 47 percent to 46 percent. But since switching to a likely voter screen in 1992, the...

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