From both the House and Senate conservatives, I get the strong feeling that the debt limit won't face much of a fight. Think of it this way: Folks are ready to vote no on a debt-limit deal but they're not planning to filibuster or threaten to depose House Speaker John Boehner. In short, on the debt limit: Vote no and let it pass.
The tough question is what happens if the Senate debt-limit hike includes a continuing resolution. Even on that score, though, one member tells me there are "80 to 100" Republicans who just want this all to end. That means Boehner might not have a majority of the GOP conference, but he has a good chunk — and enough to pass a bill with strong Democratic support.
Last night, when House conservatives scuttled a budget deal, there were a couple of sentiments driving opposition.
1. We're not ready to end the government shutdown
From what I can tell, almost all Republicans are ready to pass a debt-limit hike (phew), but yesterday's deal included a medium-term continuing resolution that would end the government shutdown. There are a lot of conservatives who think the GOP can "win" a government shutdown. After all, (A) Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid keeps cold-heartedly blocking efforts to fund things like veterans and Washington, D.C., and (B) Obamacare is very unpopular and threatening to blow up at launch.
So there are many who say let's raise the debt limit, but refuse to open government without a real dent in Obamacare.
2. If a lame deal is going to pass the House, at least make it originate in the Senate
Some conservatives who are ready to give up the fight just didn't want their fingerprints on a final deal that provides little to no gain for the right. They objected to the House introducing a "lame" deal, as one member put it.