President Trump raised eyebrows earlier this year by claiming that Republicans were on the cusp of a major breakthrough with Hispanic voters. “Many Hispanics will be coming over to the Republican side, watch!” he tweeted in January. It’s not the first time he’s made such a prediction. Under fire for his rhetoric about illegal immigration in his campaign announcement speech, then-candidate Trump vowed to win over Latinos.

“I think I’ll win the Hispanic vote,” Trump declared at the U.S.-Mexico border all the way back in 2015. “I have thousands of Mexicans and Hispanics [working for me] and I think when it comes right down, I don’t know if you saw the polls, but they just did a big poll in Nevada, the state of Nevada, and I’m way ahead. … More importantly, as far as I’m concerned, I’m way, way ahead with Hispanics.”